Quote:
Originally Posted by Tenac
Don't for get the one in 2021 in the North West and East!!! I have family on both ends and they often had brown outs and rolling black outs due to the load on the grid due to AC units.  |
LOL, didn't say the expansion wouldn't be messy
The thing is, grid expansion hits the walls of business uncertainty and climate politics.
California, for example, went 10 years between blackouts so there wasn't any good crisis to capitalize on, plus analysts fucked up the capacity calculations by assuming solar plants are 24/7, so they published false high capacity numbers ... normally that might've been a larger problem, but California shored up the capacity-demand-spike deficit by importing spare capacity from other states. That worked great until exporter states started limiting their spare capacity, and then the only choice for the engineers to protect the grid is to do controlled brownouts.
At a certain point - and we're pretty fucking close to that point - there'll be no choice but start funding new capacity, likely starting with more LFP Megapack installations at solar farms and ending with new generation capacity ... whether it be renewable or not.
China is going thorium salt nuke which is probably the safest best approach, therefore the one California won't pick.